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Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
$14.2M volume— today$57.3K liquidityEnds Mar 31, 12:00 AM
Selected contract
December 31
Yes
4%
Probability history
4%Yes
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Market depth
Exact selected outcome token
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Rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
- Provider
- polymarket
- Market reference
- 0x7ed4f343d9e6cf9c03a72b31809f76cfcfaaf591f5931e1d91f4b3946cf14d25